Executive Summary

In the planning period 2009-2018, the Distribution Utilities (DUs) expect an increase in peak demand of 4,006 MW from 8,529 MW in 2009 to 12,535 MW in 2018, representing an average growth of 3.9% annually. Luzon is projected to have a 3.7% annual average growth rate in peak demand, from 6,357 MW in 2009 to 9,051 MW in 2018. Visayas and Mindanao will have a higher growth rate at 4.8% and 4.6%, respectively from 1,167 MW in 2009 to 1,735 MW in 2018 for Visayas, and from 1,214 MW in 2009 to 1,750 MW in 2018 for Mindanao. 

In terms of energy requirement, DUs in Luzon is projected to grow at an annual average growth rate of 4.0% over the ten-year planning period, from 37,884 GWh in 2009 to 55,588 GWh in 2018. Visayas DUs is seen to register an annual average growth rate of 4.5%, from 6,020 GWh in 2009 to 8,886 GWh in 2018, Mindanao DUs will register a 4.6% annual average growth rate, from 6,726 GWh in 2009 to 9,762 GWh in 2018.

DUs are projecting a substantial increase in the number of customers in 2018: Luzon at 11.366 million; Visayas at 3.622 million; and Mindanao at 3.133 million. These translate to an annual average growth rates of 4.1% in Luzon, 4.5% in Visayas, and 5.0% in Mindanao in energy sales, respectively.

To meet the projected increase in energy requirements over the planning horizon, an estimated 24,424 ckt-km of lines are programmed for rehabilitation and/or upgrading, 14,842 ckt-km of lines are for construction, and an additional 5,735 MVA substation capacity will be constructed. These will have corresponding investment requirements amounting to PhP70.9 billion, broken down into: PhP21.2 billion for electrification projects, PhP20.6 billion for construction of new lines, PhP8.0 billion for additional substation capacity, and Php21.1 billion for rehabilitation of distribution lines.

View complete PDF file: Distribution Development Plan 2009-2018