Executive Summary

In the planning period 2008-2017, the Distribution Utilities (DUs) expect an increase in peak demand of 4,547 MW from 8,810 MW in 2008 to 12,956 MW in 2017, representing an average growth of 4.4% annually. Luzon is projected to have a 4.3% annual average growth rate in peak demand, from 6,535 MW in 2008 to 9,505 MW in 2017. Visayas and Mindanao will have a higher growth rate at 5.1% and 4.7%, respectively from 1,097 MW in 2008 to 1,701 MW in 2017 for Visayas, and from 1,177 MW in 2008 to 1,751 MW in 2017 for Mindanao. 

In terms of energy requirement, DUs in Luzon is projected to grow at an annual average growth rate of 4.7% over the ten-year planning period, from 38,844 GWh in 2008 to 58,433 GWh in 2017. Visayas DUs is seen to register an annual average growth rate of 5.0%, from 5,871 GWh in 2008 to 9,026 GWh in 2017, Mindanao DUs will register a 5.0% annual average growth rate, from 6,436 GWh in 2008 to 9,664 GWh in 2017.

DUs are projecting a substantial increase in the number of customers in 2017: Luzon at 11.079 million; Visayas at 3.295 million; and Mindanao at 3.051 million. These translate to an annual average growth rates of 4.5% in Luzon, 5.1% in Visayas, and 5.6 % in Mindanao in energy sales, respectively.

To meet the projected increase in energy requirements over the planning horizon, an estimated 23,929 ckt-km of lines are programmed for rehabilitation and/or upgrading, 17,448 ckt-km of lines are for construction, and an additional 7,871 MVA substation capacity will be constructed. These will have corresponding investment requirements amounting to PhP70.7 billion, broken down into: PhP21.1 billion for electrification projects, PhP30 billion for construction of new lines and additional substation capacity, and Php19.6 billion for rehabilitation of distribution lines.

View complete PDF file: Distribution Development Plan 2008-2017