Oil Monitor as of 12 November 2013

Date published: July 1, 2015

WORLD OIL PRICES (Nov 4-8, 2013 trading days)

Dubai crude price dipped to almost four-month low during the week, trailing Brent and WTI that have been waning since last week due to the following reasons:

  • Lower-than-expected increase in U.S. crude stockpiles, the seventh week consecutive increase, expanding by 1.58 million barrels to 385.4 million, according to the US-DOE’s Energy Information Administration;
  • European Central Bank unexpectedly cut its benchmark rate to a record low, which strengthened the US dollar. This makes the dollar-denominated oil more expensive for holders of other currencies;
  • Continued progress in talks between Iran and the West over Tehran's disputed nuclear programme. Although both sides confirmed that agreement is still uncertain, world powers is expected to certainly find a breakthrough deal with Iran to start resolving the decade-old dispute, analysts noted.

Analysts however believed that the situation in Libya, where crude production slimmed down to about 10 percent capacity of 1.25 million b/d and news of implied oil demand increase in China by 0.3 percent in October limits the downsides in oil prices.

Meanwhile, Platts highlighted that Asian gasoline market remained weak though a heavy draw in US stocks provided some support to market sentiment. There has been little sign of Southeast Asian demand this week, with only a small buy tender in Vietnam and earlier purchases by Indonesia.

On the other hand, supply tightness in the Asia Pacific and demand from Indonesia continued keep the Asian gasoil/diesel market firm this week. According to Platts, Indonesia is expected to buy close to 5 million barrels of gasoil for November, extending its buying spree from October due to a scheduled turnaround at its 125,000 b/d Balongan refinery.

FOREX: Peso per US dollar rate depreciated week-on-week by P0.09 to 43.27, from P43.18 in previous week.

Other recommended reference sites:
(1) http://www.aip.com.au/pricing (2) http://www.med.govt.nz/ers/oil_pet/prices/prices.html


DOMESTIC OIL PRICES

Effective 10 November 2013, most of the oil companies implemented a decrease of P0.60 for gasoline and P0.70 for diesel and kerosene.

Year-to-date net increase for gasoline and diesel stands now at P0.14 and P1.93 per liter respectively.

As monitored, shown below are the retail prices in Metro Manila beginning 10 November 2013.
Products Price Range Common Price
P/liter
Diesel 39.60-44.20 43.00
Gasoline* 48.15-52.30  
Auto-LPG 30.10-33.10  
LPG, P/11-kg cylinders 685.00-808.00  

* RON 93

For more information, call the

Department of Energy:
Pricing: 840-2187
LPG: 840-2130
Fuels: 840-5669
SMS: (0915) 4469421
Email: oilmonitor@doe.gov.ph
Website: http://www.doe.gov.ph

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